Choosing Calls over Puts Similar to the Bear Put Spread, the Bear Call Spread is a two leg option strategy invoked when the view on the market is ‘moderately bearish’. The Bear Call Spread ..
Similar to the Bear Put Spread, the Bear Call Spread is a two leg option strategy invoked when the view on the market is ‘moderately bearish’. The Bear Call Spread is similar to the Bear Put Spread in terms of the payoff structure; however there are a few differences in terms of strategy execution and strike selection. The Bear Call spread involves creating a spread by employing ‘Call options’ rather than ‘Put options’ (as is the case in bear put spread).
You may have a fundamental question at this stage – when the payoffs from both Bear Put spread and Bear Call spread are similar, why should one choose a Bear Call spread over a Bear Put spread?
Well, this really depends on how attractive the premiums are. While the Bear Put spread is executed for a debit, the Bear Call spread is executed for a credit. So if you are at a point in the market where –
And you have a moderately bearish outlook going forward, then it makes sense to invoke a Bear Call Spread for a net credit as opposed to invoking a Bear Put Spread for a net debit. Personally I do prefer strategies which offer net credit rather than strategies which offer net debit.
The Bear Call Spread is a two leg spread strategy traditionally involving ITM and OTM Call options. However you can create the spread using other strikes as well. Do remember, the higher the difference between the two selected strikes (spread), larger is the profit potential.
To implement the bear call spread –
Ensure –
Let us take up example to understand this better –
Date – February 2016
Outlook – Moderately bearish
Nifty Spot – 7222
Bear Call Spread, trade set up –
Generally speaking in a bear call spread there is always a ‘net credit’, hence the bear call spread is also called referred to as a ‘credit spread’. After we initiate the trade, the market can move in any direction and expiry at any level. Therefore let us take up a few scenarios to get a sense of what would happen to the bear put spread for different levels of expiry.
Scenario 1 – Market expires at 7500 (above the long Call)
At 7500, both the Call options would have an intrinsic value and hence they both would expire in the money.
Scenario 2 – Market expires at 7400 (at the long call)
At 7400, the 7100 CE would have an intrinsic value and hence would expire in the money. The 7400 CE would expire worthless.
Do note, the loss at 7400 is similar to the loss at 7500 pointing to the fact that above a certain point loss is capped to 202.
Scenario 3 – Market expires at 7198 (breakeven)
At 7198, the trade neither makes money or losses money, hence this is considered a breakeven point. Let us see how the numbers play out here –
This clearly indicates that the strategy neither makes money or losses money at 7198.
Scenario 4 – Market expires at 7100 (at the short call)
At 7100, both the Call options would expire worthless, hence it would be out of the money.
Clearly, as and when the market falls, the strategy makes a profit.
Scenario 5 – Market expires at 7000 (below the short call)
This scenario tests the profitability of the strategy when the market falls further. At 7000, both the call options would expire worthless. While we treat the premium paid for 7400 CE i.e Rs.38 as a loss , we will retain the entire premium received for 7100 CE i.e Rs.136 as a profit. Hence the net profit from the strategy would be 136-38 = 98. Clearly, as and when the market falls, the strategy tends to make money, but it is capped to Rs.98.
As you can observe, the payoff is similar to a bear put spread where both the profits under best case scenario and losses under worst case scenario is pre defined.
Going by the above payoff we can generalize the key trigger points for the strategy –
At this stage, we can add up the Deltas to get the overall position delta to know the strategy’s sensitivity to the directional movement.
From the BS calculator I got the Delta values as follows –
The delta of the strategy is negative, and it indicates that the strategy makes money when the underlying goes down, and makes a loss when the underlying goes up.
The following images help us identify the best call option strikes to choose, given the time to expiry. We have discussed the split up of time frame (1st and 2nd half of the series) several times before, hence for this reason I will just post the graphs and the summary table.
Strikes to select when we are in the 1st half of the series –
Expect 4% move to happen within | Higher strike | Lower strike | Refer graph on |
---|---|---|---|
5 days | Far OTM | ATM+2 strikes | Top left |
15 days | Far OTM | ATM + 2 strikes | Top right |
25 days | OTM | ATM + 1 strike | Bottom left |
At expiry | OTM | ATM | Bottom right |
Strikes to select when we are in the 2nd half of the series –
Expect 4% move to happen within | Higher strike | Lower strike | Refer graph on |
---|---|---|---|
5 days | Far OTM | Far OTM | Top left |
15 days | Far OTM | Slightly OTM | Top right |
25 days | Slightly OTM | ATM | Bottom left |
At expiry | OTM | ATM/ITM | Bottom right |
The following graph talks about the variation in strategy cost with respect to changes in the volatility –
The graph above explains how the premium varies with respect to variation in volatility and time.
From these graphs it is clear that one should not really be worried about the changes in the volatility when there is ample time to expiry. However one should have a view on volatility between midway and expiry of the series. It is advisable to take the bear call spread only when the volatility is expected to increase, alternatively if you expect the volatility to decrease, its best to avoid the strategy.
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